It's over

topic posted Tue, May 6, 2008 - 11:51 PM by 
Hopefully everyone can agree that it's finally over (are you listening, Hillary?) & get on with the business of defeating John McCain, cleaning house in the White House, & restoring some hope for America's future.
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  • Re: It's over

    Wed, May 7, 2008 - 5:22 AM
    .......currently listening to both KIRO and Kirby Wilbur for non-prog perspectives.......liking the neocon's take on how Obama seems for real more and more.

    Will Nadar's peeps and you Greeners back him?
    • Re: It's over

      Wed, May 7, 2008 - 5:26 PM
      <<Will Nadar's peeps and you Greeners back him?>>

      Well, I've been a vocal advocate for Obama in the Dem primary, but since my November vote for Obama in Washington state won't do him any good (because he'll get all of our states electoral college votes with or without my vote), I will be voting for the Green Party candidate, Cynthia McKinney. She represents my political views much better than Obama does, & I'm glad that the electoral college gives me the luxury of voting for the candidate I really believe in rather than the better of two lessers. Voters in probably at least 30 states will have this same luxury.

      I suspect that Greens in states where the vote will be tight will end up voting for Obama. At least he offers a better "lesser evil" option than we've seen in a while.

      The electoral college is an undemocratic institution that we'd be better off without, but the one good thing about it is that it gives many of us the freedom to vote our consciences rather than casting a compromise vote.
      • Re: It's over

        Wed, May 7, 2008 - 5:56 PM
        I myself am uncommitted. I absolutely will not vote for Hillary if she won the primary, and Obama will only get my vote if he has a narrow lead in California. I think that too often progressives passively will automatically vote Democrat to block the republican without givng two much of a challenge to their own candidate.
        • Re: It's over

          Wed, May 7, 2008 - 7:03 PM
          It's definitely foolish and naive to think that the particular candidate that gets the nomination or the office will actually invoke any changes in the complex of industries, corporations, and private banks that generate real political changes in this country.

          I tend to think of the presidential office as the tint, or bias, that will be assumed for the benefit of the public (i.e., the presentation that is portrayed as the corruption is carried forth, business-as-usual).
        • Re: It's over

          Sun, May 11, 2008 - 8:34 PM
          I just wish SHE (see below) could be the candidate. We sorely need her kind of politics today.

          asinglewomanmovie.com
          • Re: It's over

            Mon, May 12, 2008 - 2:09 AM
            No doubt, Rankin was an American hero. But in *this* election we have the opportunity to vote for one of the great Congresswomen of *our* generation, Cynthia McKinney. Why not show support for *her* kind of politics today?
            • Re: It's over

              Mon, May 12, 2008 - 12:11 PM
              Well, yeah. Cynthia McKinney is terrific. I do support her.

              The unique thing about Jeannette Rankin, is that she was a progressive from the great tradition of her day, and actually made it as a national figure BEFORE suffrage! A true revolutionary.
  • Re: It's over

    Wed, May 7, 2008 - 8:57 AM
    It was over before North Carolina and Indiana. Hillary Clinton has MATHEMATICALLY lost the race more than a month ago.

    Even if she won each remaining race, she COULD NOT OBTAIN ENOUGH DELEGATES TO WIN. You cannot change the laws of mathematics.

    She's a bit like Huckabee was....staying in the race for her career more than anything. Destroying it that is..because this will re-write the Clinton "brand" as the who divided the party and in the worst case scenario, let the republicans win..after the most unpopular president since Truman (whose rating was 20% during the Korean War)....no less.

    I also have a theory that the machine is simply not going to appoint Barack as president. Not because of his color, but because he's too liberal and has not reassured the corporate oligarchy that he will play ball. So Clinton stays in, waiting for the corporate media overlords to fabricate just the right (wright) story in time for his downfall and her resurgence. A few voting machine tweaks will help.

    Clinton may also be depending on counting the Michigan and Florida votes. Howard Dean has already stated that this will not happen. There are a few reasons for this:

    1: Those states broke the rules and knew what they were getting into..but they thought Hillary was the defacto nominee at the time so who cared? What's more, the Clinton camp AGREED at the time with the decision to not count the votes of those states and said as much in a press release.

    2: It wouldn't actually be fair to voters, it would simply be an attempt to stock up on delegates on Clintons part...Obama is NOT EVEN ON THE BALLOT in Michigan, meaning that it's not really a "vote" proper for the current election. If you support Obama and are in Michigan, you have no vote. That's what Clinton is now calling "fairness"

    3: If Clinton won by either having Florida and Michigan counted OR by having the the popular and delegate votes thrown out (and there is evidence this may happen) based on "Electability" issues (meaning the current media flavor of the week goes against Obama) OR BOTH, the Dems would be finished. It would be a "tainted" win for Clinton. In essence, the DNC would tell the first African American nominee "Look, we know you won more delegates, and we know you won the popular vote, and even have more superdelegates..but sorry, we are going with the other person, that's just the way it is". Imagine the fallout from THAT. Clinton would appear like Bush did, as a thief of democracy..the person who lost but took power despite the votes of the people, the DNC would appear totally racist, and in all the outrage the republicans would take power again. That would be IT.

    I dont think Clinton cares though...I don't think she is considering the life of the democratic party or the big picture. I think she would take a tainted win and an unpopular presidency.
  • Re: It's over

    Wed, May 7, 2008 - 11:58 AM
    Regardless of who in nominated, they both have accepted plenty of money from corporations..

    The Problems of Bush will take more than several presidencies to undo. So it won't be utopia by any stretch of the imagination...

    I think the best thing is to try to reform the system toward more transparent democracy.. this should not take much effort and will guard against the secrecy that Bush has enjoyed.
    • Re: It's over

      Wed, May 7, 2008 - 3:09 PM
      >>>>>>>>>>>>The Problems of Bush will take more than several presidencies to undo. So it won't be utopia by any stretch of the imagination...

      And it isn't just the government damage and all the baggage that comes with it., it is also the resignation of the population is going to have and allow a future nasty regime to pull shit. Those of us who remember Watergate, or at least the congressional hearings remember how pissed off people were, and how pissed off they were at Ford for pardoning him. It somehow has meant that people get accustomed to the idea of a break in and wiretaps. Now look at whats happening. Not as much outrage and the Democratic Party has done Jack Shit about it.
  • Re: It's over

    Wed, May 7, 2008 - 4:58 PM
    ...and from the NYT...

    Pundits Declare the Race Over
    By JIM RUTENBERG
    Published: May 8, 2008

    Very early this morning, after many voters had already gone to sleep, the conventional wisdom of the elite political pundit class that resides on television shifted hard, and possibly irretrievably, against Senator Hillary Clinton’s continued viability as a presidential candidate.

    The moment came shortly after midnight Eastern time, captured in a devastatingly declarative statement from Tim Russert of NBC News: “We now know who the Democratic nominee’s going to be, and no one’s going to dispute it,” he said on MSNBC. “Those closest to her will give her a hard-headed analysis, and if they lay it all out, they’ll say: ‘What is the rationale? What do we say to the undeclared super delegates tomorrow? Why do we tell them you’re staying in the race?’ And tonight, there’s no good answer for that.”

    It was not exactly Walter Cronkite declaring that the Vietnam War would end in stalemate. But the impact was apparent almost immediately, starting with The Drudge Report, the online news billboard that is the home page to many political reporters in Washington and news producers in New York. It had as its lead story a link to a YouTube clip of Mr. Russert’s comments, accompanied by a photograph of a beaming Mr. Obama with his wife, Michelle, and the headline, “The Nominee.”

    The thought echoed throughout the world of instant political analysis, steamrolling the Clinton campaign’s attempts to promote the idea that her victory in Indiana was nonetheless an upset in the face of Mr. Obama’s heavy spending and his campaign’s predictions that he would win there, or that she could still come back if delegates in Florida and Michigan are seated.

    “I think there’s an increasing presumption tonight that Obama’s going to be the nominee,” Chris Wallace, the Fox News host, said to Karl Rove, President Bush’s longtime political guru, who is now a Fox News analyst. The statement preceded a discussion about what a general election race would look like between Mr. Obama and the presumptive Republican nominee, Senator John McCain.

    A posting on the DailyKos Web site included a mock memo to Mrs. Clinton titled, “To-Do List Before Dropping Out.”

    Speaking on CNN, David Gergen, a former adviser to several presidents, including Mrs. Clinton’s husband, said, “I think the Clinton people know the game is almost up.”

    Stating it more bluntly, Bob Franken, the political analyst, told the MSNBC host Dan Abrams shortly after 2 a.m. Eastern time, “Let’s put it right on the table: It’s over. It’s over.”

    And it picked up again on the major morning news programs in a devastating cascade of sound bites for Mrs. Clinton and her campaign.
    Bob Schieffer on the CBS News program “Early Show”: “Basically, Maggie, this race is over.”

    George Stephanopoulos on the ABC program “Good Morning America”: “This nomination fight is over.”

    Matt Lauer on the NBC News program “Today”: “Good morning, is it over?”

    The commentary was punctuated by some brutal morning newspaper headlines: “Toast!” blared The New York Post; “Hil Needs a Miracle” declared The New York Daily News.

    Of course, the political news media have not exactly showered themselves in glory this year. They have frequently made predictions that have been upended by actual votes from actual people.

    But their opinions matter as much as ever in this late phase of the primary race, when Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Obama are battling to sway the opinions of the uncommitted superdelegates — the party leaders and elected officials with automatic convention seats, whose support Mrs. Clinton will need if she is to snatch the nomination from Mr. Obama..... etc.
    • Re: It's over

      Wed, May 7, 2008 - 7:30 PM
      My bet is that the Obama campaign will now paint the picture of Obama as the presumptive..look for more attacks on McCain from Obama and more attacks on Obama from Clinton.

      Or..perhaps the Clintons will call in some old favors and have Obama swiftboated.
  • Re: It's over

    Wed, May 7, 2008 - 5:31 PM
    Hillary may have squeaked out a win in Indiana, but 2% wasn't enough, especially with a 14% loss in NC (regardless of the gas holiday).

    But don't take my word for it, listen to the Big Giant Head: www.youtube.com/watch
    • Re: It's over

      Sun, May 11, 2008 - 10:29 PM
      Since this thread was started, the situation has worsened for Clinton.

      Now it is the case the EVEN COUNTING MICHIGAN AND FLORIDA and EVEN IF SHE WON THEM she could not catch up to Obama in delegates. Even if she won ALL the remaining states she could not win, and the trickle of money and superdelegates to Obama has become a flood. As a matter of fact, she LOST 2 delegates today who swung the other way.


      This is because nobody invests in a losing business. Obama is not picking up new supporters of principle so much as picking up neutral spoils who go where the wind blows.

      But I still suspect a swiftboat lurking somewhere. We KNOW it is coming from the Repungnicans downt he road, but I think Clinton is putting something together..it's the only variable that is still a potential risk for Obama..she doesn't have to win..he just has to lose.

      It's not only that she lost the primary..that happens. It's that she's decimated the Clinton brand and let the Republicans gather steam if only by appearing united and allowing McCain extra time to raise money.

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